Have A Nice Life · Summer 2026 Tour Financials

Settled shows through Jul 12 · ticket counts as of Jul 13 (MB Touring)

Settled Shows — Where the Money Went

Each show's gross box office broken into band take, promoter expenses, taxes/fees, and promoter net.

Additions = support payouts, deposits already paid, reimbursements. Boston withholding = MA state tax.

Deal Structure Is Everything

Band earnings per paid ticket. Houston and Seattle sold nearly identically (~68%) — Houston's guarantee-PLUS-backend deal paid ~$27/head vs Seattle's guarantee-vs-85% at ~$18/head (incl. deposit). Structure, not audience, made the difference.

Ticket Sales Pace — Remaining Shows

Cumulative sold by count date. California is closing hard (Santa Ana +84 in the last 4-day wrap). Denver & SLC have 50+ days but soft weekly velocity — marketing push conversation now, not in August.

Signal vs Noise — Is Any Show Actually an Outlier?

Z-scores across the 5 settled shows (0 = tour average; ±1σ band = normal range). No show crosses ±2σ on any metric — with n=5, nothing here qualifies as statistical signal. The tour is bimodal: two hot shows (Boston, Austin) and a tight ~68% cluster (Dallas 68.7%, Houston 68.0%, Seattle 67.3%). Three independent markets landing within 1.4 points of each other says ~68% is simply the normal 2026 HANL sell-through in 1,100–1,400 cap rooms.

Reading: Seattle is the low end of normal on every lens — not a soft-demand signal. The true outlier is Houston on earnings: +100% over projection and $27.20/head (z=+1.8), driven by its guarantee-PLUS-backend deal structure, not by the crowd.

Same-market history from prior tour ledgers (band revenue received; historical sheets don't track attendance). Seattle at the Showbox is up +40% on 2024 in the same room — demand there is growing, not declining. LA & SF 2024 comps ready for when this week's shows settle.

Historical Baseline — 2019 → 2026

Reconstructed from settlement PDFs, ticket-count wraps, and payment sheets in the band email archive. Every figure is from a source document — gaps are labeled, never guessed.

Same market, year over year

Market	2024 tour	2026 tour	Payout
Seattle Showbox both years	814 sold with 11 days left (final count requested)	761 final (67%) attendance ~flat	$10,000 → $14,000 +40%
Boston Paradise both years	578 sold with 24 days left	978 final (95.7%) up big	$13,728 → $16,923 +23%
Los Angeles 2024: Vermont Hollywood 2026: Vermont Hollywood	844 final (after downsizing from 2,300-cap Wiltern)	916 sold, 5 days left, bigger room already past 2024 final	settles 7/18
San Francisco 2024: Regency Ballroom 2026: Great American Music Hall	564 sold of 1,424 with 11 days left	700-cap room SOLD OUT in advance	settles 7/14

Sell-through where hard counts exist

Year	Show	Sold / Sellable	Result
2023	Lee's Palace, Toronto	571 / 628	91%
2024	Space Ballroom, Hamden	300 / 300	SOLD OUT
2025	Button Factory, Dublin (2 nights)	1,060 / 1,060	SOLD OUT ×2
2025	Saint Luke's, Glasgow	600 / 600	SOLD OUT
2025	Marble Factory, Bristol	1,232 / ~1,400	~88%
2026	Tour to date (5 settled shows)	4,281 / 5,564	77% avg

The long arc: band payout per headline show

Tour	Range	Typical
2019 Sea of Worry	$2,019 – $9,160	~$4,700
2023 US	$8,781 – ~$15,000	~$12,000
2024 US	$5,178 (300-cap) – $16,923*	~$13,000
2026 US settled	$12,600 – $25,891	$16,695 avg

*2024 West Coast leg paid as one $27,314 wire (LA + SF + Seattle combined).

Read: demand isn't softening — it's been re-shaped. The "they never tour" scarcity premium is gone because the band now tours annually. Steady state: ~70% in 1,100–1,400 rooms, sellouts at or under ~700. Absolute draw is flat-to-up in every repeat market and per-show payout has roughly tripled since 2019. Known gaps: 2024 final drop counts (requested from MB Touring), 2023 US attendance.

Awaiting Settlement

Played, settlement docs not yet received. Auto-ingest is watching email daily.